Beyond Theology and Sanctions: The Century-Long Struggle for Oil and Sovereignty in Iran

To the West, Iran is a "rogue state" disrupting energy security and challenging the liberal international order. But to Tehran, this is a "second war of decolonization" that has been raging for over a century—from the exploitative D'Arcy concession and the 1953 coup to today's drone strikes and cyber warfare.

To the West, Iran is a "rogue state" disrupting energy security and challenging the liberal international order. But to Tehran, this is a "second war of decolonization" that has been raging for over a century—from the exploitative D'Arcy concession and the 1953 coup to today's drone strikes and cyber warfare.

The decades-long standoff between Iran and the West is routinely framed by mainstream media as an ideological clash or a battle of religious fundamentalism. But peel back the political rhetoric, and the true roots dig much deeper—over a century deep, to be exact. It all began with the British discovery of oil in 1908, sparking a silent, relentless war to control the world’s most vital strategic resource and the trade routes that carry it.

1. The Original Sin: Colonial Extraction and the 1953 Coup

·        The Colonial Extraction: The discovery of oil by British prospector William Knox D'Arcy led to the creation of the Anglo-Persian Oil Company (AIOC, later BP). The company monopolized Iran’s black gold, reaping massive profits while paying the host country mere pennies in royalties. To London, Iran was less a sovereign nation and more a corporate colony.

·        The Fight to Reclaim Sovereignty: The turning point arrived with the rise of democratically elected Prime Minister Mohammad Mossadegh. In 1951, driven by a demand for economic justice, Mossadegh pushed through the Oil Nationalization Bill, reclaiming control of the country's most precious asset.

·        Operation Ajax—The Blueprint for Regime Change: Unwilling to cede control of its lucrative interests, Britain partnered with the U.S. CIA to orchestrate the 1953 coup that toppled Mossadegh. In the Iranian historical consciousness, this covert operation is branded as America’s "Original Sin"—the moment the U.S. willingly crushed a democracy solely to safeguard Western oil monopolies.

2. From Puppet Monarch to Islamic Revolution: A Geopolitical Rupture

·        The "Policeman of the Middle East": Following the coup, the West reinstated Shah Mohammad Reza Pahlavi. Operating under the Cold War logic of the Nixon Doctrine, the Shah acted as the region's enforcer. He guaranteed regional security and a steady flow of cheap oil to the West; in return, Washington armed him to the teeth and turned a blind eye to the brutal domestic repression carried out by his secret police, SAVAK.

·        The 1979 Islamic Revolution: Generations of pent-up grievance finally exploded. The 1979 revolution, led by Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, was not merely a transition into a theocracy. At its core, it was a fiercely anti-imperialist uprising—a declaration of independence from Western economic and political vassalage.

·        The True Meaning of "Death to America": This famous slogan is frequently misunderstood in the West. It is not rooted solely in theological animosity; rather, it reflects a collective, intergenerational memory of resource plunder and violated sovereignty.

Today, the conflict equation has evolved. The battle is no longer just about who owns the oil wells; it has morphed into a complex web of economic warfare, chokepoint control, and proxy conflicts in an era of global multipolarity.

3. The 2026 Outlook: From Oil Concessions to Multipolar Geopolitics

Today, the conflict equation has evolved. The battle is no longer just about who owns the oil wells; it has morphed into a complex web of economic warfare, chokepoint control, and proxy conflicts in an era of global multipolarity.

Sanctions vs. The "Dark Fleet"

The U.S. has heavily leveraged financial sanctions to drain Iran's economic lifeblood. In response, Tehran has adapted by deploying a "dark fleet" of untraceable tankers and utilizing non-dollar payment systems. They smuggle oil to Asian markets—primarily China—at steep discounts, trading it for essential goods, technology, and diplomatic shielding. Meanwhile, control over the Strait of Hormuz remains Iran’s ultimate geopolitical leverage—a choke point capable of holding global energy supply chains hostage.

Power Realignment: The Pivot to the East

While traditional Western powers maintain intense pressure, Iran has successfully broken out of its diplomatic isolation by integrating into non-Western blocs. Joining BRICS and the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) allows Tehran to institutionalize its "Look to the East" strategy. Furthermore, the war in Ukraine has forged a deep, pragmatic reliance between Moscow and Tehran; by trading Shahed drones for advanced Russian military and aerospace tech, Iran has become a vital logistical corridor and production hub for Russia to bypass Western sanctions.

Rewiring the Map: The New Silk Road

Iran is actively positioning itself as the crucial linchpin in the International North-South Transport Corridor (INSTC). This transit route links Russia and Central Asia to the Indian Ocean via Iranian ports, offering a strategic bypass to traditional maritime trade routes historically dominated by Western naval powers.

Nuclear Deterrence and "Strategic Depth"

The collapse of the JCPOA has left Iran as a "nuclear threshold state"—possessing the technical capability to build a bomb without crossing the final political red line. This strategic ambiguity acts as a powerful deterrent against military regime change. To avoid direct conventional warfare, Iran also relies on its "Axis of Resistance" (spanning Lebanon, Yemen, Iraq, Syria, and Palestine). In international relations terms, this provides Tehran with vital strategic depth—a network of proxies that imposes heavy costs on adversaries while keeping the battlefield far from Iranian borders.

Conclusion: The Unfinished Decolonization

Whether the global context shifts from the age of empires to the Cold War, or into today’s multipolar superpower competition, the structural core of the conflict remains unchanged.

To the West, Iran is a "rogue state" disrupting energy security and challenging the liberal international order. But to Tehran, this is a "second war of decolonization" that has been raging for over a century—from the exploitative D'Arcy concession and the 1953 coup to today's drone strikes and cyber warfare.

This is not a conflict that can be resolved simply by demanding regime change or engaging in theological debates. It is a fundamental, structural clash between a superpower's drive to dominate global resources and geopolitics, and a nation’s unyielding, century-long fight to preserve its sovereignty.

17 February 2019
Chanchai Kumpunya
(ชาญชัย คุ้มปัญญา)
Latest update 24 August 2026
Editorial Note: This article is an expanded English adaptation of the author's original column published in Thai Post Newspaper.
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References:
1. Abrahamian, Ervand. (2008). A History of Modern Iran. UK: Cambridge University Press.
2. Abrahamian, Ervand. (2013). The coup: 1953, the CIA, and the roots of modern U.S.-Iranian relations. New York: The New Press.
3. Cooper, Andrew Scott. (2011). The Oil Kings: How the U.S., Iran, and Saudi Arabia Changed the Balance of Power in the Middle East. New York: Simon & Schuster.
4. Mossadegh, Mohammed. (2013, March 17). Iran. Retrieved from http://www.moreorless.au.com/heroes/mossadegh.html
5. Mousavian, Seyed Hossein., Shahid Saless, Shahir. (2014). Iran and the United States: An Insider's View on the Failed Past and the Road to Peace. New York: Bloomsbury Academic.
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