Beyond the Holy Alliance: Decoding US-Saudi Relations in a Multipolar World

Contemporary US-Saudi relations have outgrown the old "security for oil" transaction. Today, Riyadh is fully embracing a hedging strategy, playing the role of a confident middle power in a multipolar world.

Contemporary US-Saudi relations have outgrown the old "security for oil" transaction. Today, Riyadh is fully embracing a hedging strategy, playing the role of a confident middle power in a multipolar world.

The 2017 "Arab Islamic American Summit" in Riyadh wasn’t just a photo opportunity for Donald Trump; it was a masterclass in weaponizing religious discourse for foreign policy. Washington’s persistent attempt to draw a hard line between "moderate Muslims" and "extremists" has always been notoriously fluid. In practice, this framing isn't about theology—it’s about convenience, molded to fit whichever geopolitical foe happens to be in the crosshairs.

1. The Politics of Piety: Weaponizing the "Sacred" for Geopolitical Gain

In political science, when a secular leader invokes the cosmic battle of "Good vs. Evil," they are attempting to rebrand a mundane clash of interests into a moral crusade.

This narrative has constantly evolved. We have moved past the post-9/11 "War on Terror" against al-Qaeda into a refashioned "anti-extremism" playbook designed specifically to contain Iran. Washington leverages Saudi Arabia’s identity as the leader of the "Moderate Sunni" world to create an ideological buffer against revolutionary Shiite Iran. By playing the role of the ultimate referee on "religious correctness," secular governments aren't protecting faith; they are manufacturing the legitimacy needed to sell weapons, build military bases, and lock Riyadh into Washington's orbit—all while using religious bias as a shield against global criticism.

2. RIP Huntington: The Illusion of the "Clash of Civilizations"

The pretext of a "civilizational alliance" against extremism completely shatters Samuel P. Huntington’s famous Clash of Civilizations thesis. Reality has repeatedly proven that religious fault lines don't dictate alliances; strategic pragmatism does.

The ultimate mic-drop to Huntington’s theory is the 2023 China-brokered Saudi-Iran peace deal (the Beijing Declaration). The fact that Sunni-aligned Saudi Arabia and sanction-hit Shiite Iran could restore diplomatic ties—mediated by a secular, communist-ruled China—proves that economic and security survival easily trumps holy wars. Riyadh chose to de-escalate with Tehran to secure regional stability and attract foreign investment for its Vision 2030 mega-projects. This is a triumph of neorealism, showing that religion is merely the "software" used to fire up the masses, while the "hardware" driving state action is cold, hard national interest.

Riyadh’s pivot from an "ideological ally" to a "transactional partner" isn't a betrayal of friendship. It is a calculated, rational adaptation for survival in a world where the rules are no longer written by a single hegemon, but negotiated among many.

3. The Multipolar Pivot: From Junior Partner to Global Balancer

Contemporary US-Saudi relations have outgrown the old "security for oil" transaction. Today, Riyadh is fully embracing a hedging strategy, playing the role of a confident middle power in a multipolar world.

·        Energy as a Weapon: Led by Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MBS), Saudi Arabia has unapologetically used OPEC+ to cut oil production, directly defying the Biden administration and aggravating US inflation. This sends a clear message: Riyadh no longer views itself as a subordinate vassal. It is a sovereign power calling the shots on global energy prices to serve its own ledger.

·        Diplomatic Diversification: Riyadh is actively building a geopolitical safety net. By joining the BRICS bloc, engaging with the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO), importing Chinese AI and 5G tech, and buying arms from France and Russia, Saudi Arabia is constructing a multilateral security ecosystem. This mitigates the risk of being strong-armed by Washington over human rights issues, such as the fallout from the Jamal Khashoggi assassination.

·        The Gaza Curveball: The ongoing conflict in Gaza is the ultimate stress test, proving that religious discourse remains a double-edged sword. Despite its ruthless pragmatism, Riyadh had to hit pause on normalizing ties with Israel. Why? Because MBS must lean on his title as the "Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques" to maintain legitimacy. It’s a stark reminder that while the state plays the game of realpolitik, it cannot entirely ignore the religious sentiments of the Arab street.

The modern dynamics of the US-Saudi alliance decode a fundamental truth of international politics: religion, culture, and ideology are often just borrowed props—discursive tools used to manufacture temporary legitimacy or mobilize the masses.

Once the curtain of rhetoric falls, state behavior is still governed by the iron laws of realism: the pursuit of power, wealth, and survival. Riyadh’s pivot from an "ideological ally" to a "transactional partner" isn't a betrayal of friendship. It is a calculated, rational adaptation for survival in a world where the rules are no longer written by a single hegemon, but negotiated among many.
28 May 2017
Chanchai Kumpunya
(ชาญชัย คุ้มปัญญา)
Latest update 28 August 2026
Editorial Note: This article is an expanded English adaptation of the author's original column published in Thai Post Newspaper.
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References:

1. Anti-terror fight ‘not a battle between different faiths,’ Trump to tell Saudi summit. (2017, May 21). Arab News. Retrieved from http://www.arabnews.com/node/1102721/saudi-arabia
2. Bazian, Hatem. (2017, January 30). Trump's war on Islam and clash of civilization wrecking crew! Daily Sabah. Retrieved from http://www.dailysabah.com/columns/hatem-bazian/2017/01/30/trumps-war-on-islam-and-clash-of-civilization-wrecking-crew
3. Buncombe, Andrew. (2016, February 19). Donald Trump is 'not Christian', says Pope Francis. The Independent. Retrieved from http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-elections/donald-trump-is-not-christian-says-pope-francis-a6881846.html
4. Fisk, Robert. (2017, May 21). Donald Trump’s speech to the Muslim world was filled with hypocrisy and condescension. The Independent. Retrieved from http://www.independent.co.uk/voices/donald-trump-saudi-arabia-muslim-speech-a7747856.html
5. Ginsberg, Benjamin., Lowi, Theodore J., Weir, Margaret., Tolbert, Caroline J., & Spitzer, Robert J. (2015). We the People: An Introduction To American Politics. (Tenth Essentials Edition). NY.: W. W. Norton & Company.
6. Huntington, Samuel P. (1996/2011). The Clash of Civilizations and the Remaking of World Order. New York: Simon & Schuste.
7. Joint Strategic Vision Declaration for the United States of America and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. (2017, May 21). Retrieved from https://secureservices.riyadhsummit2017.org/UploadedImages/636309364411477597.pdf
8. The White House. (2017, May 21). President Trump’s Speech to the Arab Islamic American Summit. Retrieved from https://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2017/05/21/president-trumps-speech-arab-islamic-american-summit
9. Trump seeks to win over Muslims with Islam speech. (2017, May 21). Al Jazeera. Retrieved from http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/05/trump-seeks-win-muslims-islam-speech-170521043522910.html
10. US-Saudi Agreement to Reign in Iranian Expansionism. (2017, May 21). Asharq Al-Awsat English. Retrieved from http://english.aawsat.com/asharq-al-awsat-english/news-middle-east/saudi-arabia/saudi-fm-jubeir-says-riyadh-summit-integral-combating-terrorism
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