Proxy War on a Public Health Crisis: US-China Geopolitics in the COVID-19 Era and the Legacy of Paranoia

COVID-19 was never just a public health emergency—it evolved into a "New Battlefield" for geopolitical rivalry between great powers. It leaves us with a chilling thought: if Washington and Beijing had truly joined forces, how many lives could have been saved, and how much economic ruin averted? Or is human life destined to remain collateral damage in a high-stakes struggle for global dominance?

COVID-19 was never just a public health emergency—it evolved into a "New Battlefield" for geopolitical rivalry between great powers. It leaves us with a chilling thought: if Washington and Beijing had truly joined forces, how many lives could have been saved, and how much economic ruin averted? Or is human life destined to remain collateral damage in a high-stakes struggle for global dominance?

1. Narrative Warfare: When China Became Washington’s Primary Target

While the world fought a grueling two-front battle against a health crisis and economic meltdown, Washington and Beijing opened an intense international front of "Narrative Warfare." Washington zeroed in on Beijing across two main dimensions:

A. The Numbers Game

In early April 2020, the US asserted that China’s actual infection figures were vastly underreported (at the time, US cumulative cases surpassed 187,000, while China reported roughly 81,500), citing classified Intelligence Assessments. Republican Senator Ben Sasse publicly called out the Chinese Communist Party for "lying" about its death toll to safeguard regime legitimacy.

B. The Blame-Shifting Strategy

US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo insisted that China must be held accountable for American losses, claiming Beijing stonewalled cooperation and concealed data from day one—a classic playbook of domestic political deflection during a national crisis.

Strategic Analysis:

  • The Reality of Concealment: Under an Authoritarian Regime, structural incentives favor data manipulation to protect government credibility—a textbook manifestation of an "Authoritarian Transparency Deficit."
  • Washington’s Distraction Tactic: Conversely, US officials leveraged Strategic Ambiguity and classified intel to sow public skepticism toward China's credibility. This served as a communications strategy to divert attention from domestic management failures—what political scientists term "Domestic Deflection."

2. "Mask Diplomacy" and Western Paranoia Over China’s Growing Influence

As China contained domestic outbreaks and began shipping aid globally, Washington and its Western allies viewed these moves with deep suspicion, framing them as Soft Power Projection disguised as "Mask Diplomacy."

  • The Neo-Tributary System: Western critics argued Beijing was reviving an imperial playbook where lesser states must defer to the Middle Kingdom. Some accused Beijing of exploiting the crisis to export medical gear and reboot its economy—an approach analysts labeled "Predatory Altruism."
  • Divide and Rule in Europe: EU Foreign Policy Chief Josep Borrell warned that Beijing was weaponizing medical aid to fracture European unity. Scholars feared Europe would split into pro- and anti-China camps if European nations relied on Chinese bailouts, stoking deep fears of "Strategic Dependence" on Beijing.
  • Hegemonic Succession: Rush Doshi of the Brookings Institution noted that Beijing saw a prime opportunity to step into the vacuum of global leadership while the US faltered—triggering acute "Hegemonic Anxiety" in Washington.

Political Irony: While Washington recoiled at Chinese assistance, President Trump enthusiastically welcomed a planeload of Russian medical supplies with a warm "Very nice." Irony abounded: Russia itself faced severe supply shortages but imported unlimited supplies from China, turning around to send its own stock to the US. This laid bare how Washington viewed crisis aid primarily through the lens of Political Bias, rather than humanitarian need or strategic coherence.

3. China and Domestic Critics Counterpunch: The Trump Administration’s Missteps

President Trump initially praised Xi Jinping on Twitter for his strong and brilliant leadership. But as US infection rates skyrocketed, Trump shifted his rhetoric, coining the term "Chinese Virus." This signaled a pivot that reframed a public health emergency into "Ethno-political Warfare."

Beijing and domestic US opponents hit back aggressively:

  • Chinese State Media Claps Back: China’s Global Times argued that the US outbreak stemmed from leadership negligence and fake optimism that let the American public’s guard down—a counter-narrative explicitly designed to neutralize Washington's offensives.
  • Electoral Calculus over Public Health: Analysts noted Trump prioritized economic indicators and November re-election prospects over public health, hesitating on nationwide lockdowns. Political scientists describe this phenomenon as prioritizing "Political Survival over Public Health."
  • Democratic Backlash:
    • Nancy Pelosi argued that Trump's lethal optimism and early denial proved fatal.
    • Hillary Clinton charged that Trump used racist tropes (Chinese virus) to mask his administration's incompetence and early inaction.
the legacy of paranoia from the pandemic era has not faded; it has evolved into a far more complex and dangerous posture

4. Situation Update: From "Mask Diplomacy" to "Biosecurity as Geopolitics"

Years later, the legacy of paranoia from the pandemic era has not faded; it has evolved into a far more complex and dangerous posture:

A. The Lab Leak Theory & Re-Weaponized Information

Once dismissed as a fringe conspiracy during the Trump era, the Wuhan lab-leak hypothesis became mainstreamed under the Biden administration. It was institutionalized into a bipartisan political cudgel against Beijing—a textbook case of the Weaponization of Information.

B. Vaccine Diplomacy 2.0 & the Biotech Race

The battlefield expanded from PPE masks to vaccines, biotechnology, and global health infrastructure—turning the Global South into the primary arena for Vaccine Diplomacy 2.0.

C. The BIOSECURE Act and Scientific Decoupling

With the US passing the BIOSECURE Act, restricting federal contracts with Chinese biotech giants like BGI and WuXi AppTec, the principle of "Health Security = National Security" became concrete policy. Science and public health are now central instruments of Tech Decoupling and Strategic Competition.

D. Institutional Paralysis at WHO & the Pandemic Treaty

Negotiations over WHO’s proposed Pandemic Treaty ground to a halt, paralyzed by US-China-Russia disputes over pathogen data sharing and enforcement mechanisms. The gridlock highlights how Global Health Governance has fractured under intense geopolitical friction.

Conclusion: A Humanitarian Crisis Trapped in a Zero-Sum Game

This escalating clash stands in stark contrast to warnings from global figures:

  • Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus (WHO Director-General): Stressed that global solidarity is the only way to defeat a pandemic.
  • Lee Hsien Loong (Former PM of Singapore): Warned that mutual recriminations achieve nothing, cautioning against "Zero-sum Thinking in a Positive-sum World."

Food for thought: COVID-19 was a stress test for humanity. While great power cooperation could have saved millions of lives and prevented economic ruin, global politics remains trapped: Beijing pushes relentlessly for Hegemonic Aspiration, while Washington fights tooth and nail for Hegemonic Preservation.

The same question echoes louder than ever, with an equally brutal answer:

At the end of the day, what truly takes precedence for superpowers: Human lives or National security?

As we navigate the Biosecurity Age—where the next pandemic could be far more devastating—will humanity absorb the harsh lessons of COVID-19? Or will human lives remain permanently held hostage to the games of global power?

5 April 2020
Chanchai Kumpunya
(ชาญชัย คุ้มปัญญา)
Latest update 20 July 2026
Editorial Note: This article is an expanded English adaptation of the author's original column published in Thai Post Newspaper.

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References:

1. Anti-China chorus can't mask country's contributions to virus fight: Global Times editorial. (2020, March 30). Global Times. Retrieved from https://www.globaltimes.cn/content/1184227.shtml

2. China Concealed Extent of Virus Outbreak, U.S. Intelligence Says. (2020, April 1). Bloomberg. Retrieved from https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-04-01/china-concealed-extent-of-virus-outbreak-u-s-intelligence-says

3. Cooperation possible if US politicians end paranoia. (2020, March 26). Global Times. Retrieved from https://www.globaltimes.cn/content/1183975.shtml

4. Coronavirus: Russia sends plane full of medical supplies to US. (2020, April 1). The Guardian. Retrieved from https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/apr/01/coronavirus-russia-sends-plane-full-of-medical-supplies-to-us

5. Don’t fall for it! Trump is using “Chinese Virus” label to cover up his mishandling of coronavirus. (2020, March 19). People's Daily Online. Retrieved from http://en.people.cn/n3/2020/0319/c90000-9670125.html

6. EU split over China’s ‘face mask’ diplomacy. (2020, March 28). Asia Times. Retrieved from https://asiatimes.com/2020/03/eu-split-over-chinas-face-mask-diplomacy/

7. G7 leaders vow to do whatever necessary to overcome coronavirus shock. (2020, March 17). Japan Times. Retrieved from https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2020/03/17/business/g7-coronavirus-shock/#.XnBEBnIzbZ5

8. Japan’s imports from China plummet as virus shuts factories. (2020, March 18). The Asahi Shimbun. Retrieved from http://www.asahi.com/ajw/articles/13224889

9. Not Just China: U.S. Reliance On Foreign Medical Supplies Is Staggering. (2020, March 27). The American Conservative. Retrieved from https://www.theamericanconservative.com/articles/just-how-dependent-is-america-on-foreign-medical-supplies/

10. The Problem With China’s Victory Lap. (2020, March 28). The Atlantic. Retrieved from https://asiatimes.com/2020/03/eu-split-over-chinas-face-mask-diplomacy/

11. Trump says keeping US Covid-19 deaths to 100,000 would be a ‘very good job’. (2020, March 30). The Guardian. Retrieved from https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/30/trump-says-keeping-us-covid-19-deaths-to-100000-would-be-a-very-good-job

12. US and China swapping insults, blaming each other for COVID-19 won’t help solve the problem: PM Lee. (2020, March 30). Channel News Asia. Retrieved from https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/singapore/us-and-china-swapping-insults-blaming-each-other-for-covid-19-12588302

13. US political elites attempt to save economy before people’s lives. (2020, March 28). Global Times. Retrieved from https://www.globaltimes.cn/content/1184026.shtml

14. Virus unleashes racism in Western societies. (2020, February 2). Global Times. Retrieved from https://www.globaltimes.cn/content/1178267.shtml

15. Wake Up America -- China is the Pandemic. (2020, March 26). American Thinker. Retrieved from https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2020/03/wake_up_america_emchinaem_is_the_pandemic.html

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ที่มาภาพ : https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/


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